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	<title>Comments on: Inflation in a credit crunch  -  high interest rates will make the crunch worse</title>
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	<link>http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/03/10/inflation-in-a-credit-crunch-high-interest-rates-will-make-the-crunch-worse/</link>
	<description>Conservative Party Member of Parliament for Wokingham</description>
	<pubDate>Fri, 29 Aug 2008 21:01:38 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>By: Why interest rates won&#8217;t affect inflation&#8230; &#171; A Spawn of Lucidity</title>
		<link>http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/03/10/inflation-in-a-credit-crunch-high-interest-rates-will-make-the-crunch-worse/#comment-23395</link>
		<dc:creator>Why interest rates won&#8217;t affect inflation&#8230; &#171; A Spawn of Lucidity</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 15 Aug 2008 22:40:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/03/10/inflation-in-a-credit-crunch-high-interest-rates-will-make-the-crunch-worse/#comment-23395</guid>
		<description>[...] 1. Interesting though slightly different view on the same issue:  http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/03/10/inflation-in-a-credit-crunch-high-interest-rates-will-ma... [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] 1. Interesting though slightly different view on the same issue:  http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/03/10/inflation-in-a-credit-crunch-high-interest-rates-will-ma&#8230; [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Howard Bryant</title>
		<link>http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/03/10/inflation-in-a-credit-crunch-high-interest-rates-will-make-the-crunch-worse/#comment-18632</link>
		<dc:creator>Howard Bryant</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Mar 2008 11:25:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/03/10/inflation-in-a-credit-crunch-high-interest-rates-will-make-the-crunch-worse/#comment-18632</guid>
		<description>What I would like to understand is how much inflation is being stoked up by the rapidly easing money supply being generated by the central banks ? Is someone looking the other way ?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What I would like to understand is how much inflation is being stoked up by the rapidly easing money supply being generated by the central banks ? Is someone looking the other way ?</p>
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		<title>By: peter higgins</title>
		<link>http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/03/10/inflation-in-a-credit-crunch-high-interest-rates-will-make-the-crunch-worse/#comment-18261</link>
		<dc:creator>peter higgins</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 17 Mar 2008 17:59:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/03/10/inflation-in-a-credit-crunch-high-interest-rates-will-make-the-crunch-worse/#comment-18261</guid>
		<description>what is the inflation rate in the uk at this moment in time

CPI about 2%  RPI about 4%</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>what is the inflation rate in the uk at this moment in time</p>
<p>CPI about 2%  RPI about 4%</p>
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		<title>By: Atlas shrugged</title>
		<link>http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/03/10/inflation-in-a-credit-crunch-high-interest-rates-will-make-the-crunch-worse/#comment-18094</link>
		<dc:creator>Atlas shrugged</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Mar 2008 21:58:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/03/10/inflation-in-a-credit-crunch-high-interest-rates-will-make-the-crunch-worse/#comment-18094</guid>
		<description>John its good to see you have understood your basic economics.

However Adam Smith lived and wrote TWON a long time ago. 

But you forget John that Adam Smith believed in sound money backed by a Gold Standard. Not the almost infinitely corrupted type of funny money we have had since the end of the first world war.

There are other things that drive inflation now days apart from wars. Caused mainly by YOUR  political class cooking the books. But also by other nations people not wanting to eat grass while working 90 hours  for $30 a week forever.

You may well be able to ignore inflation, like myself. But those who barely get though the week as it is, while working full time, may have a very different way of seeing things.

The poor bastards were constantly told, that  there would be NO MORE BOOM AND BUSTS. Very unfortunately too many of the silly buggers believed their Labour politicians and even more The Labour Parties obviously fascist British establishment Broadcasting Corporation.

However as you most likely have noticed I hope, you Mr John Redwood MP are a Conservative politician. So why have you and your party not spent more time and effort for the last 11 years WARNING ordinary people that no more boom and bust, is literally IMPOSSIBLE under our present corporate capitalist system? 

Not just because Labour politicians are all a corrupt bunch of lying con men on a gravy train mission from hell.

But because the people that run the worlds banking system design booms and busts to ALWAYS happen, as the primary way that they stay running the worlds banking system, not to say the entire world, very profitably.

OK some of the minor league players lose vast amount of created borrowed money every now and again, but over time the big league players get it all back. Especially when the Tory party are allowed back in, for the the main purpose of paying off the bills.

The people that lose are us THE ORDINARY PEOPLE, that actually produce ALL the REAL wealth, love and human compassion on the planet. It is us who's marriages, homes, small businesses, and futures, go down the river. It is us that are left down the creek without a paddle or even our own life raft.  Not those of the political class, the ruling class, and certainly not your mates in the City of London.

I will vote Conservative at the next election. But not because The Conservative party are any less part of the scam then the Labour Party, or indeed the Lib/Dems are. But because I know the bills have to be paid back one day, and the quicker the better.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>John its good to see you have understood your basic economics.</p>
<p>However Adam Smith lived and wrote TWON a long time ago. </p>
<p>But you forget John that Adam Smith believed in sound money backed by a Gold Standard. Not the almost infinitely corrupted type of funny money we have had since the end of the first world war.</p>
<p>There are other things that drive inflation now days apart from wars. Caused mainly by YOUR  political class cooking the books. But also by other nations people not wanting to eat grass while working 90 hours  for $30 a week forever.</p>
<p>You may well be able to ignore inflation, like myself. But those who barely get though the week as it is, while working full time, may have a very different way of seeing things.</p>
<p>The poor bastards were constantly told, that  there would be NO MORE BOOM AND BUSTS. Very unfortunately too many of the silly buggers believed their Labour politicians and even more The Labour Parties obviously fascist British establishment Broadcasting Corporation.</p>
<p>However as you most likely have noticed I hope, you Mr John Redwood MP are a Conservative politician. So why have you and your party not spent more time and effort for the last 11 years WARNING ordinary people that no more boom and bust, is literally IMPOSSIBLE under our present corporate capitalist system? </p>
<p>Not just because Labour politicians are all a corrupt bunch of lying con men on a gravy train mission from hell.</p>
<p>But because the people that run the worlds banking system design booms and busts to ALWAYS happen, as the primary way that they stay running the worlds banking system, not to say the entire world, very profitably.</p>
<p>OK some of the minor league players lose vast amount of created borrowed money every now and again, but over time the big league players get it all back. Especially when the Tory party are allowed back in, for the the main purpose of paying off the bills.</p>
<p>The people that lose are us THE ORDINARY PEOPLE, that actually produce ALL the REAL wealth, love and human compassion on the planet. It is us who&#8217;s marriages, homes, small businesses, and futures, go down the river. It is us that are left down the creek without a paddle or even our own life raft.  Not those of the political class, the ruling class, and certainly not your mates in the City of London.</p>
<p>I will vote Conservative at the next election. But not because The Conservative party are any less part of the scam then the Labour Party, or indeed the Lib/Dems are. But because I know the bills have to be paid back one day, and the quicker the better.</p>
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		<title>By: Steven_L</title>
		<link>http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/03/10/inflation-in-a-credit-crunch-high-interest-rates-will-make-the-crunch-worse/#comment-18067</link>
		<dc:creator>Steven_L</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Mar 2008 01:20:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/03/10/inflation-in-a-credit-crunch-high-interest-rates-will-make-the-crunch-worse/#comment-18067</guid>
		<description>Well I think the DOW and probably the FTSE are well and truly in bear market conditions now.  I expect to see more falls over the course of the year, accompanied by enough volatility to burn the fingers of anyone who goes near shares or their derivatives hoping to profit from the conditions.

I expect house prices to fall this year, and the pace of the fall to gather momentum.  I expect more personal and corporate insolvencies and more reposessions.

I expect New Labour to stick with the old plan of borrowing money, chucking it around the economy in the form of tax credits and pointless government initiatives and hoping nobody notices how much they've run up the national credit card.

I expect the overall tax take to rise.  There will be a round of taxes on all the things they can get away with taxing, such as alcohol and motoring.

A keep hearing people say that in the second half of the year everything will get better, there will be loads of cheap blue-chips worth buying, house prices will be back on the increase and everything will be hunky-dory.  I disagree, I think the next few years will be very painful for many people in the UK.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Well I think the DOW and probably the FTSE are well and truly in bear market conditions now.  I expect to see more falls over the course of the year, accompanied by enough volatility to burn the fingers of anyone who goes near shares or their derivatives hoping to profit from the conditions.</p>
<p>I expect house prices to fall this year, and the pace of the fall to gather momentum.  I expect more personal and corporate insolvencies and more reposessions.</p>
<p>I expect New Labour to stick with the old plan of borrowing money, chucking it around the economy in the form of tax credits and pointless government initiatives and hoping nobody notices how much they&#8217;ve run up the national credit card.</p>
<p>I expect the overall tax take to rise.  There will be a round of taxes on all the things they can get away with taxing, such as alcohol and motoring.</p>
<p>A keep hearing people say that in the second half of the year everything will get better, there will be loads of cheap blue-chips worth buying, house prices will be back on the increase and everything will be hunky-dory.  I disagree, I think the next few years will be very painful for many people in the UK.</p>
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		<title>By: Rose</title>
		<link>http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/03/10/inflation-in-a-credit-crunch-high-interest-rates-will-make-the-crunch-worse/#comment-18062</link>
		<dc:creator>Rose</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Mar 2008 19:39:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/03/10/inflation-in-a-credit-crunch-high-interest-rates-will-make-the-crunch-worse/#comment-18062</guid>
		<description>Am I right in thinking that slow inflation always leads to rapid inflation unless something is done about it?

Reply; NO. IT DEPENDS HOW MUCH MONEY IS CHASING HOW MUCH GOODS.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Am I right in thinking that slow inflation always leads to rapid inflation unless something is done about it?</p>
<p>Reply; NO. IT DEPENDS HOW MUCH MONEY IS CHASING HOW MUCH GOODS.</p>
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		<title>By: Freeborn John</title>
		<link>http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/03/10/inflation-in-a-credit-crunch-high-interest-rates-will-make-the-crunch-worse/#comment-18060</link>
		<dc:creator>Freeborn John</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Mar 2008 18:29:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/03/10/inflation-in-a-credit-crunch-high-interest-rates-will-make-the-crunch-worse/#comment-18060</guid>
		<description>I can only add an individual perspective of someone exposed to the chill-winds currently blowing in the global economy. Circa 2001 the technology industry faced a downturn that essentially started within this industry and frugality of a degree that I suspect is unknown in the public sector has been the norm ever since. The problems this time originate in the finance industry but I actually feel prospects for UK employment in the tech-sector are as grim as during the .com bust. This is because; 
(a) From the perspective of decision-makers in Silicon Valley boardrooms the UK is a market overweight in financial sector customers and these are precisely the companies cutting back the most now.
(b) Prior to ~2000 the UK was perceived as being a relatively low-cost place (compared to the US) to find skilled employees. The last few years have seen (i) a huge recruitment of talent in Asia and (ii) a dollar decline such that the UK is now expensive compared to the USA let alone China or India. If high UK interest rates were to push the £ towards $.250 the outlook for UK employment would be ominous.

Unless things pick-up in the US pretty soon I fear the UK payroll of global companies could be reduced to just those functions (e.g. sales, customer support) that absolutely must to be performed locally with ostensibly higher-value functions relocated to Asia simply because they can (in theory) be performed anywhere. Should Britain lose a significant proportion of the FDI it has attracted in the past the loss of tax revenue would ultimately be felt by those on the UK state payroll so public sector frugality is very much required now in Britain. It may indeed already be too late.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I can only add an individual perspective of someone exposed to the chill-winds currently blowing in the global economy. Circa 2001 the technology industry faced a downturn that essentially started within this industry and frugality of a degree that I suspect is unknown in the public sector has been the norm ever since. The problems this time originate in the finance industry but I actually feel prospects for UK employment in the tech-sector are as grim as during the .com bust. This is because;<br />
(a) From the perspective of decision-makers in Silicon Valley boardrooms the UK is a market overweight in financial sector customers and these are precisely the companies cutting back the most now.<br />
(b) Prior to ~2000 the UK was perceived as being a relatively low-cost place (compared to the US) to find skilled employees. The last few years have seen (i) a huge recruitment of talent in Asia and (ii) a dollar decline such that the UK is now expensive compared to the USA let alone China or India. If high UK interest rates were to push the £ towards $.250 the outlook for UK employment would be ominous.</p>
<p>Unless things pick-up in the US pretty soon I fear the UK payroll of global companies could be reduced to just those functions (e.g. sales, customer support) that absolutely must to be performed locally with ostensibly higher-value functions relocated to Asia simply because they can (in theory) be performed anywhere. Should Britain lose a significant proportion of the FDI it has attracted in the past the loss of tax revenue would ultimately be felt by those on the UK state payroll so public sector frugality is very much required now in Britain. It may indeed already be too late.</p>
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		<title>By: mikestallard</title>
		<link>http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/03/10/inflation-in-a-credit-crunch-high-interest-rates-will-make-the-crunch-worse/#comment-18056</link>
		<dc:creator>mikestallard</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Mar 2008 16:58:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/03/10/inflation-in-a-credit-crunch-high-interest-rates-will-make-the-crunch-worse/#comment-18056</guid>
		<description>You are, as ever, totally right in your analysis. The Telegraph today had two superb articles saying the same thing: Janet Daley and the Leader.
And do you think the leopard will change his spots?
I think, myself, that we are faced with a government which is very clever but totally stupid. All it wants is re election and to cling on to power for as long as it can. It will do this by buying votes out of our money through hand outs to its clients.
So, truthfully, I think you are going to be appalled by the budget, prepared, remember, by an Edinburgh lawyer who knows little or nothing about the Treasury for a man who has spent the last decade arranging for the debacle.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You are, as ever, totally right in your analysis. The Telegraph today had two superb articles saying the same thing: Janet Daley and the Leader.<br />
And do you think the leopard will change his spots?<br />
I think, myself, that we are faced with a government which is very clever but totally stupid. All it wants is re election and to cling on to power for as long as it can. It will do this by buying votes out of our money through hand outs to its clients.<br />
So, truthfully, I think you are going to be appalled by the budget, prepared, remember, by an Edinburgh lawyer who knows little or nothing about the Treasury for a man who has spent the last decade arranging for the debacle.</p>
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		<title>By: Curly</title>
		<link>http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/03/10/inflation-in-a-credit-crunch-high-interest-rates-will-make-the-crunch-worse/#comment-18052</link>
		<dc:creator>Curly</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Mar 2008 14:46:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/03/10/inflation-in-a-credit-crunch-high-interest-rates-will-make-the-crunch-worse/#comment-18052</guid>
		<description>Today’s gales may be the last fling of an &lt;a href="Today’s gales may be the last fling of an unpredictable winter in the UK." rel="nofollow"&gt;unpredictable winter&lt;/a&gt; in the UK.

I quite agree!

I concur with your last post too, although I fear it's too late to change course on Northern Rock.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Today’s gales may be the last fling of an <a href="Today’s gales may be the last fling of an unpredictable winter in the UK." rel="nofollow">unpredictable winter</a> in the UK.</p>
<p>I quite agree!</p>
<p>I concur with your last post too, although I fear it&#8217;s too late to change course on Northern Rock.</p>
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		<title>By: Stuart Fairney</title>
		<link>http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/03/10/inflation-in-a-credit-crunch-high-interest-rates-will-make-the-crunch-worse/#comment-18049</link>
		<dc:creator>Stuart Fairney</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Mar 2008 13:48:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/03/10/inflation-in-a-credit-crunch-high-interest-rates-will-make-the-crunch-worse/#comment-18049</guid>
		<description>Speaking of energy prices, do you think Mr Darling after careful deliberation may have decided that the most pressing problem in the UK economy today is that petrol is just too cheap?  

I think he maybe almost alone in such a conclusion.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Speaking of energy prices, do you think Mr Darling after careful deliberation may have decided that the most pressing problem in the UK economy today is that petrol is just too cheap?  </p>
<p>I think he maybe almost alone in such a conclusion.</p>
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		<title>By: Brian Tomkinson</title>
		<link>http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/2008/03/10/inflation-in-a-credit-crunch-high-interest-rates-will-make-the-crunch-worse/#comment-18045</link>
		<dc:creator>Brian Tomkinson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Mar 2008 12:01:05 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Inflation must not be ignored. I sense an attitude that inflation is less concerning than the "credit crunch". Previous experience shows that inflation is insidious and will eventually wreck the economy. Is it realistic to expect that the massive increases on the basics of life, such as food and energy will be accepted without high wage and salary demands following? Once that happens the whole thing will get out of control. The experiences of the 70s and 80s seem to have been forgotten. I wrote to you previously about the worrying similarities to those days and see no reason to fear that we are in grave danger of returning to those abysmal times.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Inflation must not be ignored. I sense an attitude that inflation is less concerning than the &#8220;credit crunch&#8221;. Previous experience shows that inflation is insidious and will eventually wreck the economy. Is it realistic to expect that the massive increases on the basics of life, such as food and energy will be accepted without high wage and salary demands following? Once that happens the whole thing will get out of control. The experiences of the 70s and 80s seem to have been forgotten. I wrote to you previously about the worrying similarities to those days and see no reason to fear that we are in grave danger of returning to those abysmal times.</p>
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